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Predictions That
Missed the Mark
“Everything that can be invented has
been invented.”
-
Charles H. Duell, an official at the U.S. Patent
Office, 1899.
“By 1985 machines will be capable of
doing any work man can do.”
-
Herbert A. Simon, of Carnegie Mellon University, a
founder of the field of artificial intelligence,
speaking in 1965.
“Who the hell wants to hear actors
talk?”
-
H.M Warner, co-founder of Warner Brothers, 1927.
“Sensible and responsible women do
not want to vote.”
-
Grover Cleveland, U.S. President, 1905.
“It will be gone by June.”
- Variety,
passing judgment on rock ‘n’ roll in 1955.
“With over 15 types of foreign cars
already on sale here, the Japanese auto industry
isn’t likely to carve out a big share of the market
for itself.”
-
Business Week,
August 2, 1968.
“Computers in the future may have
only 1,000 vacuum tubes and weigh only 1.5 tons.”
-
Popular Mechanics,
March 1949.
“This case is a loser.”
-
Johnnie Cochran, on soon-to-be client O.J. Simpson’s
chance of winning, 1994.
“Flight by machines heavier than air
is impractical (sic) and insignificant, if not
utterly impossible.”
-
Simon Newcomb; The Wright Brothers flew at Kittyhawk
18 months later.
“Radio has no future.”
-
Lord Kelvin, Scottish mathematician and physicist,
1897.
“We stand on the threshold of rocket
mail.”
-
U.S. postmaster general Arthur Summerfield, 1959.
“This ‘telephone” has too many
shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means
of communication. The device is inherently of no
value to us.”
-A
memo at Western Union, circa 1878.
“What can be more palpably absurd
than the prospect held out of locomotives traveling
twice as fast as stagecoaches.”
The Quarterly Review
– March 1825
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